Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.315524 3.664684 4.043125 4.485119 4.988850 5.547015 6.214986
2025-08-24 2.772170 3.229850 3.759834 4.423750 5.239978 6.219507 7.497361
2025-08-31 2.446330 2.958608 3.580619 4.400960 5.468696 6.831536 8.735938
2025-09-07 2.274659 2.837153 3.547681 4.526630 5.865361 7.669956 10.354068
2025-09-14 2.085790 2.666264 3.423140 4.503759 6.043291 8.216420 11.627606
2025-09-21 1.924386 2.512029 3.299414 4.458966 6.171715 8.691295 12.846012
2025-09-28 1.739717 2.308694 3.087664 4.263576 6.051969 8.773444 13.449293
2025-10-05 1.651638 2.230713 3.042044 4.300118 6.275713 9.397259 15.015120
2025-10-12 1.586508 2.178968 3.027627 4.378183 6.566491 10.155531 16.924387
2025-10-19 1.527130 2.130234 3.012117 4.450199 6.850719 10.931774 18.989922
2025-10-26 1.471059 2.081756 2.992029 4.510803 7.118668 11.707976 21.185514
2025-11-02 1.412943 2.025818 2.955458 4.539582 7.331998 12.408250 23.350784
2025-11-09 1.320746 1.913583 2.825579 4.406420 7.253508 12.569929 24.449983
2025-11-16 1.251681 1.833382 2.741480 4.344055 7.296584 12.970321 26.152922
2025-11-23 1.196750 1.772092 2.683569 4.321475 7.409608 13.521455 28.311370
2025-11-30 1.174328 1.761239 2.707303 4.444279 7.811113 14.716999 32.287729
2025-12-07 1.126786 1.706578 2.653728 4.421919 7.924310 15.314397 34.891629
2025-12-14 1.079098 1.649022 2.591491 4.378134 7.988867 15.812079 37.346923
2025-12-21 1.009941 1.552279 2.456254 4.187116 7.731426 15.546170 37.615785
2025-12-28 0.982751 1.524922 2.440496 4.222844 7.953601 16.425159 41.417669
2026-01-04 0.963566 1.510078 2.445699 4.299164 8.270407 17.577907 46.379178
2026-01-11 0.944463 1.494285 2.448027 4.369564 8.581411 18.765547 51.825526
2026-01-18 0.924719 1.476295 2.445112 4.428803 8.873350 19.951947 57.665749